Knicks Face Spurs in Game 4 at Madison Square Garden as Wembanyama Continues Historic Finals Performance

The New York Knicks will host the San Antonio Spurs for Game 4 of the NBA Finals on Wednesday at 8:30 p.m. ET from Madison Square Garden. The series stands at 2-1 in San Antonio's favor following the Spurs' Game 3 victory, which ended a thirteen-game postseason winning streak for New York. The Knicks enter as 2.5-point favorites according to current sportsbook odds.

What's at Stake

The Spurs' Game 3 win prevented the outcome that has never occurred in NBA Finals history: a team climbing back from an 0-3 series deficit. For the Knicks, the loss exposed defensive vulnerabilities and a lack of cohesion that contradicted their dominant playoff run. New York had swept its previous two rounds while playing fewer games than San Antonio—completing the postseason with 821 minutes played compared to the Spurs' 1,018.

Game 4 represents the final contest before a two-day rest period for both teams. This scheduling advantage favors the Knicks, who have accumulated additional rest days throughout the postseason and should benefit from the brief recovery window.

Wembanyama's Ascending Form

Victor Wembanyama has demonstrated a significant trajectory improvement across three Finals games. His scoring has risen from 26 points in Game 1 to 29 in Game 2 to 32 in Game 3, while his field-goal percentage climbed from 28.6% to 52.4% to 61.1%. The young Spurs forward's three-point shooting also improved dramatically, moving from 22.2% through 33.3% to 50% across the same span.

Beyond raw statistics, Wembanyama has adjusted his offensive approach. After taking nine three-point attempts in Game 1, he reduced that number to six in Game 2 and four in Game 3, moving his scoring opportunities closer to the basket. This adjustment demonstrates both improved decision-making and reduced turnovers, with only one miscue in Game 3 after committing ten across both Spurs home games.

The Betting Perspective

Advanced projection models anticipate a lower-scoring contest, with simulations favoring the under on a 216.5-point total. The SportsLine model projects only two players to exceed 20 points: Wembanyama for the Spurs and Jalen Brunson for the Knicks. The model has maintained strong accuracy, recording a 26-10 record on top-rated spread picks during the Finals run.